On Tue, Aug 24, 2010 at 2:06 PM, Paul W. Frields <stickster(a)gmail.com> wrote:
I don't think anyone can generalize that the usage of Fedora is
declining. What we can prove, and certainly is troublesome, is that
yum check-ins of successive releases have been dropping by a couple
percent each release (although downloads are actually up), compared on
a per-week basis. It's no less likely that this decrease is due to
people just staying on a stable release, even past EOL. I've heard
anecdotal evidence to support that, which is no more or less valuable
than any other anecdotal evidence being presented, I suppose (IOW,
probably not worth a thing). If someone can present a hard analysis
that points to only one possible scenario, fantastic -- we can start
looking at causes.
One additional metric which I'd like to see is the raw number of yum
check-ins per week regardless of ip-addresses as an historic trend.
As a stand alone metric its prone to both over and under counting like
the other metrics but in a different way. It would be interesting to
see if the raw yum check-in counts as an historic trend followed the
download trending or the unique-ip trending.
-jef